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2024-12-13 04:42:21

Guojin Securities: In 2025, we are optimistic about Apple's industrial chain and can independently control and benefit from the industrial chain. Guojin Securities Research Report pointed out that the AI big model has brought new development opportunities to consumer electronics and IOT hardware, and it is expected to continue to drive hardware innovation, improve the value of the industrial chain and accelerate the replacement cycle. The trend of Apple's hardware innovation and growth is gradually clear. In 2025, IPhone17 is expected to usher in great innovation in hardware and end-side AI. In 2026, Apple is expected to launch folding mobile phones/iPads and smart glasses. AI smart glasses are in full bloom and are expected to usher in explosive growth. Self-control of semiconductors is the general trend, and we are optimistic about semiconductor equipment parts, materials and domestic computing power industry chain. In 2025, we are optimistic about Apple's industrial chain, AI glasses, AI-driven and self-controllable benefit industrial chain.Swiss Re: It is estimated that the global real GDP growth rate will reach 2.7% in 2026. Swiss Re released the latest sigma report, and the world economy is expected to maintain steady growth in the next two years, but the downside risks will rise. It is estimated that the global real GDP growth rate will reach 2.8% and 2.7% in 2025 and 2026, which is basically the same as that in 2024.Mao Geping opened 59.90% higher on the first day of listing, and Mao Geping opened 59.90% higher on the first day of listing. According to public information, the subscription for public offering of new shares of Hong Kong stocks in Mao Geping reached HK$ 173.814 billion, oversubscribed by 826.27 times, making it the "king of frozen capital" in the new stock market of Hong Kong stocks this year.


Pacific Securities: The historical low of the valuation office of liquor industry is about to be repaired. The Pacific Securities Research Report pointed out that the liquor industry is rationally slowing down, and the valuation office is at a historical low, and it is about to be repaired. Next year, the leading growth target will generally drop to single digits. However, the accumulated inventory risk and pricing pressure still need time to gradually ease after the imbalance between supply and demand has intensified in the past two years and the previous industry bubble has receded. With the economic recovery stimulated by this round of policies and the stabilization of the bottom of the real estate industry, the liquor industry is expected to usher in a wave of recovery. Since 2023, industry differentiation has intensified, but with the improvement of management level and refined channel operation in recent years, excellent wine enterprises have stronger marketing foundation and anti-risk ability compared with previous downward cycles. The price of high-end wine determines the brand position, so the approval price is more important, which depends on the choice of quantity and price and the control of approval price by wine enterprises. Sub-high-end needs to pay more attention to channel risks. The high growth brought by pre-distribution investment needs to be tested in the downward period, and once the channel collapses and stalls, it is difficult to reverse it. Real estate wine pays attention to the growth momentum of internal product structure and the market potential in and around the province. The upgrading speed determines the slope and the ceiling determines the space. Suggested attention: Wuliangye, LU ZHOU LAO JIAO CO.,LTD, Shuijingfang, etc.Zheshang Securities: A-shares may benefit from the rising style of risk appetite, which is more inclined to small-cap growth. Zheshang Securities Research Report pointed out that the current inflation level is in the early stage of bottoming out, and there is a lot of flexibility for the recovery of effective demand. It is expected that monetary policy will still have a total easing space such as RRR cuts and interest rate cuts. In terms of large-scale assets, A-shares may benefit from rising risk appetite, and their styles are more inclined to small-cap growth, and the valuation of technology stocks may be relatively flexible. It is recommended to pay attention to high-elastic sectors such as GEM, Kechuang 50 and Beizheng 50. In the field of fixed income, the current risk-free interest rate level has gradually approached the new equilibrium level. It is expected that the yield of the next 10-year government bonds will generally fluctuate, and the long-term interest rate is less likely to have upward risks. The credit spread is expected to narrow, and the urban investment bonds in the qualified areas will sink in a short period of time or the main allocation direction.Ren Hongbin, President of the China Council for the Promotion of International Trade, met with Lee Ka Chiu John, Chief Executive of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region. On December 9, Ren Hongbin, President of the China Council for the Promotion of International Trade, met with Lee Ka Chiu John, Chief Executive of the Hong Kong Special Administrative Region. The two sides exchanged views on strengthening economic and trade exchanges between the mainland and Hong Kong, promoting the industrial and commercial circles of the two places to jointly build the "Belt and Road" with high quality, helping Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area to develop with high quality, and jointly safeguarding the stability of the global industrial chain supply chain. The two sides indicated that they would make joint efforts to promote the second Guangdong-Hong Kong-Macao Greater Bay Area Development Business Conference to be held from December 11th to 12th to be a complete success.


Shaanxi Construction Co., Ltd.: The company and its subsidiaries won the bid for 7 projects of over 500 million yuan. Shaanxi Construction Co., Ltd. announced that in November 2024, the company and its subsidiaries won the bid for a number of major projects, of which 7 projects won the bid for more than 500 million yuan.Brent crude oil hit $72/barrel, up 0.34% in the day.South Korea's stock market rebounded after its market value evaporated by $100 billion due to the political crisis. South Korea's stock market rebounded on Tuesday, which was the first rise since the martial law storm caused the country to fall into political turmoil last week. South Korea's Kospi index rose more than 2% in early trading, after its recent decline pushed it to the edge of a bear market. The Kosdaq small-cap stock index rose more than 4%. In the four trading days as of Monday, the total market value of these two index companies evaporated by $100 billion. South Korean authorities have repeatedly promised to take all measures to stabilize market sentiment, saying that the recent market trend is "excessive" considering the country's economic fundamentals. President Yin Xiyue survived the parliamentary impeachment vote over the weekend, but the opposition party vowed to continue to push him to step down.

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